Showing posts with label stock. Show all posts
Showing posts with label stock. Show all posts

Saturday, September 01, 2012

A123 deal with China's Wanxiang would value the stock of $0.55 per share.

Saturday, September 01, 2012
A123?s rallied Commons first about the deal, but since then again dropped. As I write this, the stock has fallen again to $0.48, to only a cent from yesterday's close. The lack of profit confused me, especially since A123?s liquidity problems are the main reason the he has acted on its current depressed to 37% of book value ($1.27 per share).
While regulatory and shareholder approvals have met must be, and some existing convertible bonds repurchased and retired, it seems likely to me that this deal go through. The Government has a track record of paranoia, if it is about the Chinese, regulators have to know that A123 is probably go without a major injection of liquidity is bankrupt and American investors not just on A123?s have been beating doors.

If the business is not blocked, I expect that Wanxiang make the entire investment. Finally, this investment for Wanxiang is almost certainly on the acquisition of A123?s technology and business contacts at a discount, not short-term cash flow. Weiding Lu, CEO which Wanxiang group, said:
A123 provides industry-leading technology for vehicle electrification and grid scale energy storage, as well as strong manufacturing and systems engineering capabilities in Michigan and Massachusetts. We think, that this important synergies with creates Wanxiang, which is involved in this area for 12 years and has strong R & D and this agreement is the first step towards a long-term agreement by which we plan to build on the foundation of manufacturing capacity in China, especially as we continue to expand our strategy of investing in the automotive and Cleantech in the United States, the A123 in the United States has established and help to extend capabilities of the company, both in the domestic and internationally that would create our believe that long-term value for customers, investors and other stakeholders of both companies.

Because I think Wanxiang making full investment, think I the price they are likely to numbers was a good short-term target for AONE. As long as the share price lower than Wanxiang, have an incentive to buy the shares on the open market rather than exercise their conversion option or warrants that should provide price support.
Read the details of the release, is $75 million of investment to a short-term bridging loan, which is not the acquisition of A123 stock resulted. The rest is $200 million in convertible bonds exist (the bearings can be) and $175 million, which can be invested with the exercise of warrants. An exercise of all control of 80% of the company would lead the warrants and the full conversion of the convertible bond of Wanxaing, or about 680 million shares, based had 170 million shares of A123 outstanding July of end of. To do the math and assuming that the initial $75 million bridge loan not used, to share, to acquire the 55 cents per share.

The current price of $0.48 makes a certain sense, but, if the deal is blocked, a stock that should make a beautiful floor under the share price, together with much potential upside signalled his interest in purchasing from A123 at $0.55 Wanxaing, are like the deal A123 new financial stability lead to existing opportunities and new possibilities in China to combat.
It may also be that the conversion price of the notes not the same as the exercise price of the warrants. If this is the case, then some of the expected note conversion or guarantee that exercise would have above happen $0.55 a share, and this in turn would increase the Wanxiang incentive to the share on the open market to buy.

Since I bought all those a little A123, I expect that gather as overcome the various obstacles for this business are. It is still a small investment, because there is still no guarantee that go through the business, and if for some reason, the business is not got, AONE almost certainly his film will continue.
UPDATE: after reading this article, I decided that Petersen is right, and every investment in A123 carefully watching bears. Since I was on vacation, I sold my shares at a small profit.

Disclosure: No.
Disclaimer: Past performance is not a guarantee or a reliable indicator of future results. This article contains the current opinions of the author and such opinions are non-binding. This article has been distributed for informational purposes only. Forecasts, estimates and certain information contained should not security, strategy or investment as investment advice or a recommendation for a particular product takes into account. Information contained herein is from sources reliable, but not guaranteed won were.

This article first appeared on Forbes.com blog green stocks and AltEnergy of the author, and was republished with permission.
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Friday, June 10, 2011

A profitable smart grid penny stock aims, a NASDAQ list

Friday, June 10, 2011

Based solely on his deal with Duke, ambient was profitable in the last quarter of 2010, and gained more ground in the first quarter of 2011.  But as a reader for the American Superconductor (AMSC) / Sinovel (601558.SS) know saga, over-reliance on a single customer can be very dangerous.  You can get than ambient on Duke rely much more not to a single customer.

That is, Duke Energy not hyper competitive Chinese wind is companies with investments in the company's competitors.  You are a regulated utility, and so their movements are transparent and conservative rather than the enigmatic and abrupt.  Major changes in the Duke's strategy comes from the approval process and belong to the public record.  Regulators tend to prefer one go-slow approach, what that client acquisition for companies such as ambient slow and painful, but also means that their customers are less vulnerable to competitors and start to finance rejection deliveries with little warning.

There are advantages to the Duke as a customer have also.  Duke has been a leading provider of smart grid deployment, and in the light of the conservative utilities of that work when a smart grid solution is good for Duke, other utilities are to accept it rather than to choose a technology that is still not widely deployed.  A potential market expansion can be merged with the smaller progress energy from the Duke.  But it is also the risk, the Duke are brought by the progress of the technology's may energy smart grid project.  Overall, though, I think the merger for ambient, will be good, because interoperability a natural choice for a merging firms makes trying them, consolidate the two systems.

Hope for NASDAQ listing

The customer is the main reason for ambient stock herding.  The reasons to upbeat are current profitability of the company, strong balance sheet, and is planning a NASDAQ list target.  Major shareholder of the company of Vicis capital, has ambient's Board permission to perform a share split to increase the company's current $ 0.08-$ 0.09 course about the $4 threshold needed given a list.

The company is also to their make, by having a PR firm, elevate communications of Boston.  I'm not sure if the company has been retained, but I received my first press release from them as ambient their 2010 results in February published.  They contacted me last week again, although she did not respond when I requested an interview with the CEO in preparation for this article. I wanted him in particular questions about their prospects for the search for other customers, and why nothing in 2007 R & D effort with ConEd has come.  Review why past potential offers not materialize may give insight into the ambient future prospects.

That is the fact that only a customer has ambient is old news.

This is new news that a customer become lucrative press enough ambient in profitability is.  I'm not sure how much of the current profitability due to stimulus-related smart grid is issues of Duke, but I trust that it will probably continue for a few more quarters, if only because ambient seems in no hurry complete his split on their back and get listed.  So I'm betting that there is at least a few more good quarters get investors excited and give a quick return to where now in get.

Other investors seem to think so.  The share price has found a bottom around $0.075 and began since Q1 and revenues pay the positive upward move.

ConclusionI think ambient worth $0.09 speculate on the current share price.  If they create another large customer soon find, I would consider it a good long-term buy, but as it is I'm using currently growing profitability more comfort for less than a year and keep potential listing.This article originally appeared on AltEnergyStocks.com and was reprinted with the permission.Disclosure: Long ABTG.BBCHaftungsausschluss: Last performance is no guarantee or a reliable indicator of future results.  This article contains the current opinions of the author and opinions are subject to change without notice.  This article has been distributed for informational purposes only. Forecasts, estimates, and certain information contained herein should be considered as investment advice or a recommendation of a specific product security, strategy or investment.  This information was made from sources believed to be reliable, but not guaranteed.

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